In all honesty, I’m assuming a 4-5% polling error in Trump’s favor. People have dismissed the “Shy” Trump voter. But, here’s the thing on that, I think someone in the burbs who wants to keep a reputation and all that and after everything that’s happened in the Trump Presidency (especially this past year), do you think they’d be going out and loudly declaring their love for Trump or even telling a pollster that? I think when these people get into the privacy of a voting booth (or the comfort of their own home for a mail in ballot), their ideology, partisanship, and/or reactionary tendencies will override and they’ll vote for Trump. They’ll save face at MacKaeylynanie’s Soccer practice (or zoom equivalent) and say they aren’t voting for Trump, because it’s embarrassing for them, but they’ll do it anyway.
So 4-5% in Trump’s favor. Enough to move Pennsylvania and Florida to Trump, but not Michigan or Wisconsin. And I think that’s really where we are. A coin flip.
I think more people left of the American center need to do this. You need to mentally prepare yourself now on the very real possibility of a Trump win. I’m serious, I’m genuinely afraid for someone of y’all’s mental health if this breaks bad.
as an incumbent he absolutely has the advantage and the likelihood that he will win. This will not be an easy win for biden no matter what the polls say, no matter what the pundits say. He can win if people don’t vote for biden.
This is sickening and terrifying, but we have to be mentally and emotionally prepared. This is a HARD fight and we havent won yet.
This absolutely, with the emphasis on Keep Fighting
